Module 9 · Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations Lesson 89 of 120
R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline.
Transcript
18 sentences · select one to jump thereCheck your understanding
Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
Code lab
Run it yourself
The lesson source in 7 languages. Edit it, run TypeScript and Python right here, and compare with the expected output.
/**
* Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
* R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
* Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
*
* Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
* Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
*
* Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
*
* Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
* Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
* Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
*/
export function lesson089() {
const sse=2.4,sst:number=6,n=5,p=1;
if(sst===0) throw new Error("R-squared undefined: constant target");
if(n-p-1<=0) throw new Error("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1");
const r2=1-sse/sst;
const adjusted=1-(1-r2)*(n-1)/(n-p-1);
const result={r2,adjusted};
return result;
}
export const checkedResult = {"r2":0.6000000000000001,"adjusted":0.4666666666666668};
// Run this file directly: npx tsx lessons/09-dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/089-r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared.ts
if (process.argv[1] && import.meta.url.endsWith(process.argv[1].replace(/\\/g, "/").split("/").pop()!)) {
console.log(JSON.stringify(lesson089(), null, 2));
}
Your output
Press Run to execute the code in your browser.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}"""
Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
"""
import json
def lesson_089():
sse, sst, n, p = 2.4, 6, 5, 1
if sst == 0:
raise ValueError("R-squared undefined: constant target")
if n - p - 1 <= 0:
raise ValueError("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1")
r2 = 1 - sse / sst
adjusted = 1 - (1 - r2) * (n - 1) / (n - p - 1)
return {"r2": r2, "adjusted": adjusted}
if __name__ == "__main__":
print(json.dumps(lesson_089(), indent=2))
Your output
Press Run to execute the code in your browser.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp - Lesson 089 of 120
// R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
// Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
//
// Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
// Rule: R^2=1-SSE/SST; adjusted R^2=1-(1-R^2)(n-1)/(n-p-1)
//
// Try it: Can out-of-sample R^2 be negative?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
import java.util.ArrayList;
import java.util.Arrays;
import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
import java.util.List;
import java.util.Map;
public class Main {
static Map<String, Object> lesson089() {
double sse = 2.4, sst = 6;
int n = 5, p = 1;
if (sst == 0) throw new ArithmeticException("R-squared undefined: constant target");
if (n - p - 1 <= 0) throw new IllegalArgumentException("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1");
double r2 = 1 - sse / sst;
double adjusted = 1 - (1 - r2) * (n - 1) / (n - p - 1);
Map<String, Object> result = new LinkedHashMap<String, Object>();
result.put("r2", r2);
result.put("adjusted", adjusted);
return result;
}
public static void main(String[] args) {
System.out.println(toJson(lesson089(), ""));
}
// Minimal JSON writer: two-space indent, whole numbers without a decimal point, NaN as null.
static String toJson(Object value, String indent) {
if (value == null) return "null";
if (value instanceof Boolean) return value.toString();
if (value instanceof Number) return formatNumber(((Number) value).doubleValue());
if (value instanceof String) return quote((String) value);
if (value instanceof double[]) {
List<Object> boxed = new ArrayList<Object>();
for (double d : (double[]) value) boxed.add(d);
return toJson(boxed, indent);
}
if (value instanceof Object[]) return toJson(Arrays.asList((Object[]) value), indent);
String inner = indent + " ";
StringBuilder out = new StringBuilder();
if (value instanceof Map) {
Map<?, ?> map = (Map<?, ?>) value;
if (map.isEmpty()) return "{}";
out.append("{\n");
int i = 0;
for (Map.Entry<?, ?> entry : map.entrySet()) {
out.append(inner).append(quote(entry.getKey().toString())).append(": ")
.append(toJson(entry.getValue(), inner));
out.append(++i < map.size() ? ",\n" : "\n");
}
return out.append(indent).append("}").toString();
}
List<?> list = (List<?>) value;
if (list.isEmpty()) return "[]";
out.append("[\n");
for (int i = 0; i < list.size(); i++) {
out.append(inner).append(toJson(list.get(i), inner));
out.append(i + 1 < list.size() ? ",\n" : "\n");
}
return out.append(indent).append("]").toString();
}
static String formatNumber(double x) {
if (Double.isNaN(x) || Double.isInfinite(x)) return "null";
if (x == Math.rint(x) && Math.abs(x) < 1e15) return Long.toString((long) x);
return Double.toString(x);
}
static String quote(String s) {
StringBuilder out = new StringBuilder("\"");
for (char c : s.toCharArray()) {
if (c == '"' || c == '\\') out.append('\\').append(c);
else if (c == '\n') out.append("\\n");
else if (c < 0x20) out.append(String.format("\\u%04x", (int) c));
else out.append(c);
}
return out.append('"').toString();
}
}
No browser runner for Java yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
// R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
// Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
//
// Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
// Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
//
// Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
package main
import (
"encoding/json"
"errors"
"fmt"
"os"
)
type Lesson089Result struct {
R2 float64 `json:"r2"`
Adjusted float64 `json:"adjusted"`
}
func lesson089() (Lesson089Result, error) {
sse, sst := 2.4, 6.0
n, p := 5, 1
if sst == 0 {
return Lesson089Result{}, errors.New("R-squared undefined: constant target")
}
if n-p-1 <= 0 {
return Lesson089Result{}, errors.New("adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1")
}
r2 := 1 - sse/sst
adjusted := 1 - (1-r2)*float64(n-1)/float64(n-p-1)
return Lesson089Result{R2: r2, Adjusted: adjusted}, nil
}
func main() {
result, err := lesson089()
if err != nil {
fmt.Fprintln(os.Stderr, "Error:", err)
os.Exit(1)
}
out, err := json.MarshalIndent(result, "", " ")
if err != nil {
panic(err)
}
fmt.Println(string(out))
}
No browser runner for Go yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
// R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
// Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
//
// Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
// Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
//
// Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
#include <cmath>
#include <cstdio>
#include <cstdlib>
#include <iostream>
#include <optional>
#include <stdexcept>
#include <string>
#include <utility>
#include <vector>
// A minimal JSON value, enough to print this lesson's result.
struct Json {
enum class Kind { Null, Bool, Number, String, Array, Object };
Kind kind = Kind::Null;
bool flag = false;
double number = 0.0;
std::string text;
std::vector<std::string> keys; // object keys, parallel to items
std::vector<Json> items; // array elements or object values
Json() = default;
Json(bool value) : kind(Kind::Bool), flag(value) {}
Json(int value) : kind(Kind::Number), number(value) {}
Json(double value) : kind(Kind::Number), number(value) {}
Json(const char* value) : kind(Kind::String), text(value) {}
Json(const std::string& value) : kind(Kind::String), text(value) {}
Json(const std::vector<double>& values) : kind(Kind::Array) {
for (double v : values) items.push_back(Json(v));
}
};
Json jsonArray(const std::vector<Json>& values) {
Json array;
array.kind = Json::Kind::Array;
array.items = values;
return array;
}
Json jsonObject(const std::vector<std::pair<std::string, Json>>& fields) {
Json object;
object.kind = Json::Kind::Object;
for (const auto& field : fields) {
object.keys.push_back(field.first);
object.items.push_back(field.second);
}
return object;
}
// Shortest decimal form that reads back as the same double.
std::string formatNumber(double x) {
if (!std::isfinite(x)) return "null";
char buffer[32];
if (x == std::floor(x) && std::fabs(x) < 1e15) {
std::snprintf(buffer, sizeof buffer, "%.0f", x);
return buffer;
}
for (int precision = 1; precision <= 17; ++precision) {
std::snprintf(buffer, sizeof buffer, "%.*g", precision, x);
if (std::strtod(buffer, nullptr) == x) break;
}
return buffer;
}
std::string quote(const std::string& s) {
std::string out = "\"";
for (char c : s) {
if (c == '"' || c == '\\') { out += '\\'; out += c; }
else if (c == '\n') out += "\\n";
else out += c;
}
return out + "\"";
}
std::string toJson(const Json& value, const std::string& indent = "") {
switch (value.kind) {
case Json::Kind::Null: return "null";
case Json::Kind::Bool: return value.flag ? "true" : "false";
case Json::Kind::Number: return formatNumber(value.number);
case Json::Kind::String: return quote(value.text);
default: break;
}
const bool isObject = value.kind == Json::Kind::Object;
if (value.items.empty()) return isObject ? "{}" : "[]";
const std::string inner = indent + " ";
std::string out = isObject ? "{\n" : "[\n";
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < value.items.size(); ++i) {
out += inner;
if (isObject) out += quote(value.keys[i]) + ": ";
out += toJson(value.items[i], inner);
out += i + 1 < value.items.size() ? ",\n" : "\n";
}
return out + indent + (isObject ? "}" : "]");
}
Json lesson089() {
const double sse = 2.4, sst = 6;
const int n = 5, p = 1;
if (sst == 0) throw std::domain_error("R-squared undefined: constant target");
if (n - p - 1 <= 0) throw std::invalid_argument("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1");
const double r2 = 1 - sse / sst;
const double adjusted = 1 - (1 - r2) * (n - 1) / (n - p - 1);
return jsonObject({
{"r2", r2},
{"adjusted", adjusted},
});
}
int main() {
try {
std::cout << toJson(lesson089()) << '\n';
} catch (const std::exception& error) {
std::cerr << "Error: " << error.what() << '\n';
return 1;
}
return 0;
}
No browser runner for C++ yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
// R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
// Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
//
// Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
// Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
//
// Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
/// A minimal JSON value, enough to print this lesson's result.
#[allow(dead_code)]
enum Json {
Null,
Bool(bool),
Num(f64),
Str(String),
Arr(Vec<Json>),
Obj(Vec<(String, Json)>),
}
#[allow(dead_code)]
impl Json {
fn obj(fields: Vec<(&str, Json)>) -> Json {
Json::Obj(fields.into_iter().map(|(k, v)| (k.to_string(), v)).collect())
}
fn nums(values: &[f64]) -> Json {
Json::Arr(values.iter().map(|&v| Json::Num(v)).collect())
}
/// Pretty-prints with two-space indentation.
fn pretty(&self, indent: &str) -> String {
let inner = format!("{} ", indent);
match self {
Json::Null => "null".to_string(),
Json::Bool(b) => b.to_string(),
Json::Num(x) => format_number(*x),
Json::Str(s) => quote(s),
Json::Arr(items) if items.is_empty() => "[]".to_string(),
Json::Obj(fields) if fields.is_empty() => "{}".to_string(),
Json::Arr(items) => {
let body: Vec<String> = items
.iter()
.map(|v| format!("{}{}", inner, v.pretty(&inner)))
.collect();
format!("[\n{}\n{}]", body.join(",\n"), indent)
}
Json::Obj(fields) => {
let body: Vec<String> = fields
.iter()
.map(|(k, v)| format!("{}{}: {}", inner, quote(k), v.pretty(&inner)))
.collect();
format!("{{\n{}\n{}}}", body.join(",\n"), indent)
}
}
}
}
fn format_number(x: f64) -> String {
if !x.is_finite() {
"null".to_string()
} else if x == x.trunc() && x.abs() < 1e15 {
format!("{}", x as i64)
} else {
format!("{}", x)
}
}
fn quote(s: &str) -> String {
let mut out = String::from("\"");
for c in s.chars() {
match c {
'"' => out.push_str("\\\""),
'\\' => out.push_str("\\\\"),
'\n' => out.push_str("\\n"),
c => out.push(c),
}
}
out.push('"');
out
}
fn lesson_089() -> Result<Json, String> {
let (sse, sst) = (2.4_f64, 6.0_f64);
let (n, p) = (5_i32, 1_i32);
if sst == 0.0 {
return Err("R-squared undefined: constant target".to_string());
}
if n - p - 1 <= 0 {
return Err("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1".to_string());
}
let r2 = 1.0 - sse / sst;
let adjusted = 1.0 - (1.0 - r2) * f64::from(n - 1) / f64::from(n - p - 1);
Ok(Json::obj(vec![
("r2", Json::Num(r2)),
("adjusted", Json::Num(adjusted)),
]))
}
fn main() {
match lesson_089() {
Ok(result) => println!("{}", result.pretty("")),
Err(message) => {
eprintln!("Error: {}", message);
std::process::exit(1);
}
}
}
No browser runner for Rust yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 089 of 120
// R-Squared and Adjusted R-Squared
// Module 09: Dependence, Regression, and Model Foundations
//
// Scenario: Comparing a regression with a mean-only baseline
// Rule: R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)
//
// Try it: Can out-of-sample R² be negative?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/dependence-regression-and-model-foundations/r-squared-and-adjusted-r-squared/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Linq;
using System.Text.Json;
var options = new JsonSerializerOptions { WriteIndented = true };
Console.WriteLine(JsonSerializer.Serialize(Lesson089(), options));
static object Lesson089()
{
double sse = 2.4, sst = 6;
int n = 5, p = 1;
if (sst == 0) throw new InvalidOperationException("R-squared undefined: constant target");
if (n - p - 1 <= 0) throw new ArgumentException("Adjusted R-squared needs n > p+1");
double r2 = 1 - sse / sst;
double adjusted = 1 - (1 - r2) * (n - 1) / (n - p - 1);
return new { r2, adjusted };
}
No browser runner for C# yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"r2": 0.6000000000000001,
"adjusted": 0.4666666666666668
}Prefer your own machine? Every file is in the course repository · open it in Codespaces.
Lesson notes
The rule
R²=1−SSE/SST; adjusted R²=1−(1−R²)(n−1)/(n−p−1)